It always helps to be a good programmer. It is important to like computers and to be able to think of things people would want to do with their computers.
Yet in this global economy no jobs are safe. High-speed Internet connections and low-cost skilled labor overseas are an explosive combination.
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You have to wait for people to program you. The only difference is the amount of people that you're going to reach but that's going to even out in the next two or three years anyway. Computers are being bought faster than televisions right now.